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Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Vasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Carlos L.
33' Event
da Silva K.
57' Event
Carlos L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Vasco U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Portuguesa RJ U20
30%
Draws
58%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Portuguesa RJ U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vasco U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Portuguesa RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Carioca U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ U20 10 / 100
Vasco U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa RJ U20's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Vasco U20 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Portuguesa RJ U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ U20 VS Vasco U20
0.63 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa RJ U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 2
Portuguesa RJ U20
26 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 3
Bangu U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco U20 6
Portuguesa RJ U20 2
Fluminense U20 2
Volta Redonda U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 7
Marica U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 5
Bangu U20 0
Semi-finals
Vasco U20 3
Fluminense U20 1
Flamengo RJ U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 5
Final
Vasco U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2