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Portuguesa RJ vs Americano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ Logo

Portuguesa RJ

1 - 0
FT
Americano Logo

Americano

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Uelber
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portuguesa RJ
35%
Draws
35%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Americano come out ahead of Portuguesa RJ on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Americano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 21%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ Americano
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ vs Americano
1:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Americano vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Dec 22, 2019 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Americano
2:0
Jan 20, 2019 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Americano
0:1
Jan 18, 2006 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Americano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Uelber
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Americano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 32 / 100
Americano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa RJ scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Americano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Portuguesa RJ stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS Americano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa RJ

(Home)
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1
Madureira
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3