Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa RJ vs EC Sao Jose (PA)

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portuguesa RJ
40%
Draws
29%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Portuguesa RJ's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Portuguesa RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Sao Jose (PA), who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 68%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Portuguesa RJ
1:0
Jul 3, 2016 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:2
Jun 25, 2016 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Portuguesa RJ
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 42 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ EC Sao Jose (PA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa RJ found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Portuguesa RJ stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

EC Sao Jose (PA) let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS EC Sao Jose (PA)
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa RJ

(Home)
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Away)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
21 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0
America RN1
Gama0
Luverdense0
ABC0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Iguatu1
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Treze PB1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Sao Luiz0
CSA0
Cianorte0
ASA1
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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