Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Alves de Lima W. C.
90'
Alves de Lima W. C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Portuguesa RJ
17%
Draws
13%
Madureira
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portuguesa RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa RJ have won more games recently than Madureira.
  • Portuguesa RJ are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ Madureira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
0:0
Jan 26, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Carioca
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
2:1
Feb 5, 2024 Carioca
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 77 / 100
Madureira 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ Madureira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa RJ scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Madureira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Portuguesa RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS Madureira
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara1064013:522
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)1062215:920
3Sao Raimundo RR1034310:713
4Monte Roraima1024411:1410
5Manaus FC102448:1310
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio101278:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guapore1064019:922
2Porto Velho1053233:918
3Araguaina1053231:918
4Independencia Futebol Clube1043317:1015
5Galvez1031614:3110
6SC Humaita1000104:500
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama1082023:626
2Luverdense1043311:1015
3Brasiliense1035211:1014
4Aparecidense1034313:1213
5Primavera AC1033410:1312
6Inhumas100193:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital1072116:623
2Goiatuba EC1054113:719
3Ceilandia103349:1012
4Mixto1026210:912
5Uniao Rondonopolis1023511:189
6Operario VG101277:165
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trem1062219:1320
2Aguia De Maraba1053220:1118
3Imperatriz1043315:1015
4Tuna Luso1034314:1713
5Tocantinopolis1033418:1812
6Oratorio1011812:294
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iguatu1055014:720
2Maracana1054112:619
3Parnahyba1042411:1314
4Sampaio Correa1034312:613
5Moto Club102358:159
6IAPE1004610:204
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario1063115:721
2Piaui1052314:1117
3Fluminense-PI1035212:914
4AE Altos103259:1511
5Tirol1024410:1010
6Atletico Cearense101456:147
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ABC1072115:623
2America RN1063114:321
3Maguary103438:513
4Central SC103438:713
5Sousa103164:1110
6Laguna RN100283:202
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treze PB1052318:1417
2Sergipe1043315:1315
3Serra Branca1036112:815
4Lagarto1034314:1513
5Retro1033413:1512
6Decisao1022610:178
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA1063125:821
2Juazeirense1052312:917
3ASA1044211:716
4Jacuipense1034312:1413
5Clube Sociedade Esportiva1023510:179
6Alagoinhas101275:205
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberlandia1053212:818
2Betim FC1043312:915
3CRAC103437:713
4Ivinhema103439:1213
5ABECAT Ouvidorense103348:912
6Operario MS102359:129
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Democrata GV1052313:917
2Tombense1045113:617
3Vitoria ES1043312:815
4Rio Branco ES1034314:1213
5Porto-BA103169:2110
6Real Noroeste101546:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa1063116:621
2Agua Santa1052316:817
3Portuguesa RJ1035214:914
4America RJ1033411:2112
5Madureira1032511:1611
6Pouso Alegre102176:147
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piracicaba1045114:917
2Noroeste1043312:715
3Velo Clube1034310:1013
4Sampaio Correa FE103348:1012
5Nova Iguacu103347:1012
6Marica103259:1411
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Catarina1061315:919
2Cianorte105149:816
3FC Cascavel104339:415
4Sao Luiz1043311:915
5Joinville1043310:815
6Guarany de Bage101182:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blumenau1061314:819
2Marcilio Dias104429:516
3Sao Joseense103433:413
4EC Sao Jose (PA)103436:813
5Brasil de Pelotas102449:1210
6Azuriz102357:119