Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca Estadio Luso Brasileiro

Portuguesa RJ

1 - 1

Nova Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Leo Rafael

Assist: Wender

40'

Sub

Romarinho In: Anderson Rosa

Out: Romarinho

41'

Lucas Cruz

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Portuguesa RJ

22%

Draws

18%

Nova Iguacu

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portuguesa RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Portuguesa RJ lately — more wins on the board than Nova Iguacu.
Win probability leans Portuguesa RJ's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portuguesa RJ	Nova Iguacu
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	8
Draws	11	10
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Carioca

Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa RJ

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Feb 11, 2026 Carioca

Portuguesa RJ vs Nova Iguacu

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Feb 8, 2026 Carioca

Portuguesa RJ vs Nova Iguacu

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Feb 2, 2025 Carioca

Portuguesa RJ vs Nova Iguacu

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Jul 6, 2024 Serie D

Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa RJ

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohan

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Nova Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Rafael

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 68 / 100

Nova Iguacu 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portuguesa RJ Nova Iguacu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa RJ's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nova Iguacu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Portuguesa RJ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS Nova Iguacu

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
2	Sampaio Correa FE	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
3	Nova Iguacu	6	1	4	1	7:6	7
4	Marica	6	1	1	4	6:15	4