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Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Yohan

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portuguesa Santista
44%
Draws
20%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Preto EC haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 21%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
1:0
Jan 17, 2018 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto EC
0:0
Apr 5, 2009 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Portuguesa Santista
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Preto EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 37 / 100
Rio Preto EC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Rio Preto EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa Santista scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Portuguesa Santista remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rio Preto EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Rio Preto EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285