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Portuguesa U20 vs Sertaozinho U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
49' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Portuguesa U20 and Sertaozinho U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portuguesa U20
35%
Draws
32%
Sertaozinho U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa U20 come out ahead of Sertaozinho U20 on wins alone.
  • Portuguesa U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portuguesa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa U20 Sertaozinho U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.56 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Sertaozinho U20
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Portuguesa U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa U20 49 / 100
Sertaozinho U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa U20 Sertaozinho U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa U20's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sertaozinho U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Portuguesa U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa U20 VS Sertaozinho U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Ponte Preta U20
18 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
6 : 1
Portuguesa U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
29 Aug
America SP U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Mirassol U20
Page 1 of 7

Sertaozinho U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Santo Andre U20
3 : 0
Sertaozinho U20
19 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Santo Andre U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)