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Portuguesa vs Uberlandia

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
Portuguesa Logo

Portuguesa

1 - 0
FT
Uberlandia Logo

Uberlandia

Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Jonas Toro
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa in this Serie D tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portuguesa
40%
Draws
29%
Uberlandia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Portuguesa have won more games recently than Uberlandia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Portuguesa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portuguesa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 20%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Uberlandia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 32 / 100
Uberlandia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Uberlandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Uberlandia has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Uberlandia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0
Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Uberlandia

(Away)
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0
Portuguesa
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-