Sport Picks
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
Brazil
Serie D Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
77'
77'
Jonas Toro
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uberlandia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Portuguesa average 1.47 goals a game right now, well clear of Uberlandia's 1.34.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Portuguesa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 24%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portuguesa | Uberlandia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portuguesa 37 / 100
Uberlandia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portuguesa Uberlandia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uberlandia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portuguesa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Uberlandia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portuguesa VS Uberlandia
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portuguesa
(Home) 25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0 Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1 Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
06 Jun
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
23 May
Portuguesa
4 : 1 America RJ
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Uberlandia
(Away) 13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1 Uberlandia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
