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Portuguesa W vs Nacional SP W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa W in this Paulista Women 2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Portuguesa W
22%
Draws
60%
Nacional SP W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nacional SP W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portuguesa W lately — more wins on the board than Nacional SP W.
  • Model gives Nacional SP W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portuguesa W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional SP W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa W Nacional SP W
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 26 21
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2021 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Nacional SP W
3:2
Aug 21, 2010 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs Portuguesa W
0:3
Jun 5, 2010 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Nacional SP W
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa W 19 / 100
Nacional SP W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa W Nacional SP W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional SP W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Portuguesa W found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (41 games).

Nacional SP W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa W VS Nacional SP W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771