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Portul Constanta vs Axiopolis Cernavoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portul Constanta host Axiopolis Cernavoda in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Axiopolis Cernavoda have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Portul Constanta have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.41. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.63) point toward Axiopolis Cernavoda. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portul Constanta
15%
Draws
85%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Axiopolis Cernavoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Axiopolis Cernavoda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Axiopolis Cernavoda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portul Constanta Clean Sheet 10%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portul Constanta Axiopolis Cernavoda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portul Constanta 14 / 100
Axiopolis Cernavoda 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portul Constanta Axiopolis Cernavoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Axiopolis Cernavoda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axiopolis Cernavoda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Portul Constanta found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Axiopolis Cernavoda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portul Constanta VS Axiopolis Cernavoda
1.38 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portul Constanta

(Home)
10 Oct
Portul Constanta
0 : 8
Agricola Borcea
02 Oct
Otelul 2
2 : 1
Portul Constanta
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Inainte Modelu
4 : 3
Portul Constanta
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
Page 1 of 6

Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Away)
10 Oct
Gloria Baneasa
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)