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Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Wangaya K.
82' Event
Machaga E.

AI Match Summary

Nairobi United in this FKF Mozzart Bet Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nairobi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Posta Rangers
22%
Draws
18%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Posta Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nairobi United have won more games recently than Posta Rangers.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Posta Rangers taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Posta Rangers Nairobi United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Posta Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nairobi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangaya K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Machaga E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Posta Rangers 68 / 100
Nairobi United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Posta Rangers Nairobi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nairobi United conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Posta Rangers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Posta Rangers found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Posta Rangers VS Nairobi United
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz0
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker1
Kariobangi Sharks0
Posta Rangers0
Nairobi United2
KCB3
Chebaiywa Lions0
KUTA Collection0
Shabana1
Police FC1
BB Bread0
3K FC0
Bandari2
Mfalme5
Muranga1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker2
Nairobi United0
KCB1
Shabana0
Police FC1
Bandari5
Mfalme2
Semi-finals
Tusker1
KCB0
Police FC1
Bandari0
Final
Tusker2
Police FC1
KCB0
Bandari2