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Posusje vs Sloboda Tuzla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Begic Z.
86' Event
Skrijelj S.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH game between Posusje and Sloboda Tuzla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Posusje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Posusje
20%
Draws
35%
Sloboda Tuzla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Posusje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sloboda Tuzla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Posusje's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Posusje here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Posusje Clean Sheet 68%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Posusje Sloboda Tuzla
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Posusje vs Sloboda Tuzla
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Posusje
0:3
Nov 8, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Posusje vs Sloboda Tuzla
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Posusje
0:2
Apr 8, 2023 WWIN Liga BiH
Posusje vs Sloboda Tuzla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Posusje Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrijelj S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sloboda Tuzla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Posusje 50 / 100
Sloboda Tuzla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Posusje Sloboda Tuzla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Posusje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Posusje went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Posusje scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sloboda Tuzla let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Posusje VS Sloboda Tuzla
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Posusje

(Home)
03 Oct
Posusje
2 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
26 Sept
Kakanj
1 : 1
Posusje
20 Sept
Posusje
1 : 0
NK GOSK Gabela
12 Sept
Capljina
0 : 1
Posusje
05 Sept
Posusje
2 : 1
Hadzici
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Sloboda Tuzla

(Away)
03 Oct
Posusje
2 : 0
Sloboda Tuzla
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
19 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0
Hadzici
12 Sept
Gradacac
1 : 1
Sloboda Tuzla
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Travnik 8 7 1 0 16:5 22
2 Posusje 8 6 2 0 12:3 20
3 Stupcanica 8 5 1 2 19:7 16
4 NK GOSK Gabela 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
5 Igman Konjic 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
6 Sloboda Tuzla 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
7 TOSK Tesanj 8 4 0 4 10:10 12
8 Jedinstvo Bihac 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
9 Gradacac 8 2 2 4 7:7 8
10 Hadzici 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
11 Bratstvo Gracanica 8 1 4 3 8:13 7
12 Kakanj 8 2 1 5 5:12 7
13 Capljina 8 2 1 5 9:18 7
14 NK Vitez 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
15 Banovici 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
16 Tomislav 8 1 2 5 10:23 5
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