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Potencia vs Juventud Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Amaral U.
18' Event
Lerman T.
55' Event
Falconis O.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Potencia and Juventud finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Potencia
35%
Draws
45%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juventud come out ahead of Potencia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Juventud's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Juventud have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Potencia Clean Sheet 23%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potencia Juventud
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Juventud
2:2
May 6, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Potencia
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Potencia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falconis O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potencia 16 / 100
Juventud 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potencia Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Potencia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Potencia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Juventud
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Potencia

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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Juventud

(Away)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
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