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Potencia vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Amaral U.
18' Event
Lerman T.
55' Event
Falconis O.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Potencia and Juventud finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Potencia
33%
Draws
27%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Potencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juventud come out ahead of Potencia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Potencia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Juventud have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Potencia Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potencia Juventud
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 14
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Juventud
2:2
May 6, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Potencia
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Potencia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falconis O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potencia 50 / 100
Juventud 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potencia Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Juventud has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Potencia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Juventud
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Potencia

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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Juventud

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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