Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Potenza vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Emmausso M.
27' Event
Selleri G.
38'
Langella C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Potenza and Cosenza finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Potenza
20%
Draws
7%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Cosenza on wins alone.
  • Potenza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Cosenza
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Potenza
1:2
Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Cosenza
1:4
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Potenza
3:0
Mar 7, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Cosenza vs Potenza
0:2
Oct 19, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Potenza vs Cosenza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Selleri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmausso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Florenzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 95 / 100
Cosenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potenza's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cosenza let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Cosenza
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)