Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Potenza vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Emmausso M.
27' Event
Selleri G.
38'
Langella C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Potenza and Cosenza finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Potenza
28%
Draws
22%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cosenza come out ahead of Potenza on wins alone.
  • Potenza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cosenza have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Cosenza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Cosenza
1:4
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Potenza
3:0
Mar 7, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Cosenza vs Potenza
0:2
Oct 19, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Potenza vs Cosenza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Selleri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmausso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Florenzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 59 / 100
Cosenza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potenza scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cosenza has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Potenza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Cosenza
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0
Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)