Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Potenza vs Monopoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fall M.
13' Event
Erradi B.
42' Event
Maisto F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Potenza and Monopoli finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Potenza
30%
Draws
23%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Potenza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Potenza taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Monopoli
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.71 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Monopoli
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Potenza
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Monopoli vs Potenza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Erradi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maisto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 59 / 100
Monopoli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Potenza scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Monopoli conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Monopoli
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
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Monopoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)