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Stadium Background

Potenza vs Picerno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Loiacono G.
29'
Pugliese S.
30' Event
Russo L.
Assist: De Marco A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Potenza and Picerno finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Potenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Potenza
15%
Draws
20%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Picerno on wins alone.
  • Potenza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Potenza Clean Sheet 15%
Picerno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Picerno
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Picerno
4:2
Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Potenza
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Picerno
2:0
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Potenza vs Picerno
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Picerno
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Loiacono G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 84 / 100
Picerno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Potenza's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Picerno has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Potenza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Picerno
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)