Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Murano J. In: Anatriello G.
Out: Murano J.
50'
50'
McJannet E.
61'
61'
Sub
McJannet E. In: Proietti M.
Out: McJannet E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Ternana on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Potenza taking it.
- Potenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ternana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Ternana Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potenza | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Ternana
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Potenza
0:1
Mar 24, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Ternana
0:2
Oct 17, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Ternana vs Potenza
3:0
Jan 12, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Ternana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potenza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer McJannet E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potenza 59 / 100
Ternana 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potenza Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Potenza found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Ternana has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Potenza VS Ternana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Potenza
(Home) 27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4 Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4 Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 4
Ternana
(Away) 27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
