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Potiguar de Mossoró vs Globo FC

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2025
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Match Events

73' Event
Paulinho

AI Match Summary

Potiguar de Mossoró host Globo FC in the Potiguar 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Potiguar de Mossoró have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Globo FC's 1 scored and 2.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Potiguar de Mossoró have won 4 to Globo FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.72 xG vs 0.75) point toward Potiguar de Mossoró. Potiguar de Mossoró in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Potiguar de Mossoró
6%
Draws
4%
Globo FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Potiguar de Mossoró

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Potiguar de Mossoró has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Globo FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Potiguar de Mossoró.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Potiguar 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 20%
Globo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potiguar de Mossoró Globo FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Globo FC
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Globo FC
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Globo FC
1:0
Jul 9, 2023 Serie D
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Globo FC
2:0
May 21, 2023 Serie D
Globo FC vs Potiguar de Mossoró
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potiguar de Mossoró Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Globo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potiguar de Mossoró 85 / 100
Globo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potiguar de Mossoró Globo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potiguar de Mossoró scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Globo FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Potiguar de Mossoró went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Globo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Potiguar de Mossoró VS Globo FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
38% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ABC752013:117
2America RN751113:216
3Laguna RN734013:613
4Potiguar de Mossoró74039:712
5Santa Cruz de Natal721410:147
6Globo FC72145:117
7Baraunas71156:154
8CE Forca E Luz70254:172