Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Potyguar Seridoense vs Baraunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Mikael
32' Event
Ferrugem
36' Event
Ferrugem

AI Match Summary

Baraunas in this Potiguar 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baraunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Potyguar Seridoense
15%
Draws
59%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baraunas lately — more wins on the board than Potyguar Seridoense.
  • Model gives Baraunas a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Potiguar 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Baraunas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 15%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potyguar Seridoense Baraunas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Potiguar 2
Potyguar Seridoense vs Baraunas
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Potiguar 2
Baraunas vs Potyguar Seridoense
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs Baraunas
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Baraunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrugem
3 Goals
Assists Leader Everton Lino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potyguar Seridoense 10 / 100
Baraunas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potyguar Seridoense Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baraunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potyguar Seridoense found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Baraunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Potyguar Seridoense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Potyguar Seridoense VS Baraunas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Potyguar Seridoense

(Home)
08 Feb
Laguna RN
2 : 2
Potyguar Seridoense
04 Feb
QFC
4 : 1
Potyguar Seridoense
31 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
2 : 4
ABC
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
Page 1 of 7

Baraunas

(Away)
07 Oct
Visao Celeste
0 : 2
Baraunas
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz de Natal 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 America RN 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 Potyguar Seridoense 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
4 Globo FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potiguar de Mossoró 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 ABC 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
3 Baraunas 4 2 2 0 9:3 2
4 CE Forca E Luz 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)