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Pozo Estrecho vs Deportivo Murcia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 game between Pozo Estrecho and Deportivo Murcia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pozo Estrecho
11%
Draws
80%
Deportivo Murcia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportivo Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Murcia come out ahead of Pozo Estrecho on wins alone.
  • Deportivo Murcia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pozo Estrecho Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozo Estrecho Deportivo Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pozo Estrecho vs Deportivo Murcia
0:2
Sep 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Murcia vs Pozo Estrecho
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozo Estrecho 10 / 100
Deportivo Murcia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozo Estrecho Deportivo Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Murcia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pozo Estrecho scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pozo Estrecho remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pozo Estrecho VS Deportivo Murcia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozo Estrecho

(Home)
17 May
Mazarron CF
5 : 3
Pozo Estrecho
10 May
Pozo Estrecho
2 : 1
Plus Ultra
01 May
Caravaca
6 : 1
Pozo Estrecho
26 Apr
Pozo Estrecho
2 : 2
Pinatar
19 Apr
Pozo Estrecho
0 : 3
Cartagena La Union
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Deportivo Murcia

(Away)
02 Nov
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 10
Alaves
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
03 May
Deportivo Murcia
2 : 3
Yeclano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)