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Pozo Estrecho vs Yeclano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozo Estrecho play Yeclano in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozo Estrecho averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Yeclano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Pozo Estrecho won 0, Yeclano won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2009 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Pozo Estrecho and 0.93 for Yeclano. This points to a Yeclano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pozo Estrecho
21%
Draws
55%
Yeclano
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Yeclano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Pozo Estrecho picked up more points recently compared to Yeclano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Pozo Estrecho Clean Sheet 24%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozo Estrecho Yeclano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pozo Estrecho vs Yeclano
0:2
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Yeclano vs Pozo Estrecho
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozo Estrecho 26 / 100
Yeclano 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozo Estrecho Yeclano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeclano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Yeclano & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozo Estrecho attacking → ← attacking Yeclano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozo Estrecho scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Yeclano let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pozo Estrecho went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yeclano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539