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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon play Alcorcon B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Alcorcon B averaged 1.19 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 1, Alcorcon B won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Pozuelo de Alarcon and 1.50 for Alcorcon B. This points to a Alcorcon B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
29%
Draws
36%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon picked up more points recently compared to Alcorcon B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon Alcorcon B
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Alcorcon B
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alcorcon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 35 / 100
Alcorcon B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon Alcorcon B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alcorcon B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozuelo de Alarcon attacking → ← attacking Alcorcon B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Alcorcon B let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alcorcon B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622