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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Agustin

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon play San Agustin in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. San Agustin averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 1, San Agustin won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 27, 2019 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pozuelo de Alarcon and 0.75 for San Agustin. This points to a Pozuelo de Alarcon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
35%
Draws
19%
San Agustin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon picked up more points recently compared to San Agustin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 27%
San Agustin Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon San Agustin
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Agustin
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Agustin vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:0
Apr 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Agustin
0:0
Nov 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Agustin vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 47 / 100
San Agustin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon San Agustin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pozuelo de Alarcon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozuelo de Alarcon attacking → ← attacking San Agustin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

San Agustin let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Agustin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Getafe B38258558:2483
2CD Las Rozas38247769:3479
3Alcobendas38219849:2972
4CD Mostoles38218941:2571
5Villaverde San Andres381891140:3163
6Trival Valderas3816111141:3259
7Rayo Vallecano B3816111158:4759
8San Fernando de Henares3815131044:3758
9Leganes B3815101351:3955
10Atletico Pinto381491541:5151
11Santa Ana381381751:4847
12Alcorcon B3811111626:3544
13Carabanchel3811111629:3744
14RSD Alcala3810141425:3144
15Parla3811101739:4943
16Pozuelo de Alarcon381172038:5240
17Canillas389121734:5239
18Vicalvaro388102037:5834
19San Agustin386112137:6129
20Tres Cantos38692319:5527