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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Sebastian Reyes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gamarra V.
28' Event
Garcia G.
53' Event
Aham C.

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pozuelo de Alarcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
30%
Draws
23%
San Sebastian Reyes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pozuelo de Alarcon lately — more wins on the board than San Sebastian Reyes B.
  • Model gives Pozuelo de Alarcon a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon San Sebastian Reyes B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Sebastian Reyes B
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs San Sebastian Reyes B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamarra V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aham C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 86 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon San Sebastian Reyes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pozuelo de Alarcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Pozuelo de Alarcon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Sebastian Reyes B conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pozuelo de Alarcon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS San Sebastian Reyes B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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San Sebastian Reyes B

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 3
CP Parla Escuela
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Las Rozas 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 Colonia Moscardo 6 3 3 0 15:6 12
3 Cala Pozuelo 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
4 Galapagar 6 3 2 1 13:10 11
5 Trival Valderas 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 CD Mostoles 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
7 CF Fuenlabrada 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 Union Adarve 6 2 3 1 8:9 9
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 6 2 3 1 11:13 9
10 RC Alcobendas 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
11 Leganes B 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
12 AD Torrejon 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
13 CP Parla Escuela 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Mexico 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
15 Real Aranjuez 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
16 Rayo Vallecano B 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
17 Siello 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
18 San Sebastian Reyes B 6 1 0 5 9:17 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)