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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.
53' Event
Aham C.
82' Event
Alvarez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Pozuelo de Alarcon and Tres Cantos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pozuelo de Alarcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
6%
Draws
4%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pozuelo de Alarcon come out ahead of Tres Cantos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pozuelo de Alarcon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon Tres Cantos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Tres Cantos
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aham C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 95 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tres Cantos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS Tres Cantos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
19 Apr
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
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Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)