Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Phasukihan J.
28'
Veerachart C.
42' Event
Thinjom S.
Assist: Iury C.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Prachuap and Chiangrai Utd finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prachuap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Prachuap
20%
Draws
44%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd haven't matched Prachuap's recent run of results.
  • Prachuap are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prachuap Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Prachuap
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Jeong-Hyeop
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Thinjom S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ballini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prachuap 42 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prachuap Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prachuap's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chiangrai Utd has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Prachuap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prachuap VS Chiangrai Utd
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Prachuap

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
Page 1 of 7

Chiangrai Utd

(Away)
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)