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Prachuap vs Chonburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Sanron I.
Assist: Taua
37'
Thawornsak K.
46'
Sub
Thawornsak K. In: Kanyaroj S.
Out: Thawornsak K.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Prachuap and Chonburi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prachuap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Prachuap
20%
Draws
29%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Prachuap come out ahead of Chonburi on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Prachuap taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 19%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prachuap Chonburi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Prachuap
1:1
May 12, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Prachuap
1:1
Dec 15, 2023 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanron I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veerachart C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chonburi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prachuap 40 / 100
Chonburi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prachuap Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prachuap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Prachuap's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Prachuap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prachuap VS Chonburi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Prachuap

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
Page 1 of 7

Chonburi

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0
Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)