Sport Picks
Prachuap vs Pathum United
Thailand
Thai FA Cup Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan 
Match Events
73'
73'
Michel
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prachuap
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Prachuap have won more games recently than Pathum United.
- Win probability leans Prachuap's way, sitting at 40%.
- Prachuap have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Prachuap, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 20%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Prachuap | Pathum United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Prachuap
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Prachuap vs Pathum United
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Pathum United
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Prachuap
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Pathum United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Prachuap Compare
Top Goalscorer Michel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Pathum United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Prachuap 40 / 100
Pathum United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prachuap Pathum United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Prachuap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Prachuap scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Pathum United let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Prachuap has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Prachuap VS Pathum United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Prachuap
(Home) 19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3 Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0 Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0 Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0 Lamphun Warrior
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0 Uthai Thani
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0 Chonburi
22 Mar
Prachuap
0 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 3
Pathum United
(Away) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Phichit United 1
Udon Thani City 0
Chiangrai Utd 19
Sing Pathumthani 0
Prime Bangkok 1
Khonkaen FC 0
Royal Thai Fleet FC 1
FC ACDC 0
Uthai Thani 3
Kasem Bundit 0
Chiangmai United 2
Prachuap 6
Pathum United 4
Kamphaeng Phet 0
Surin Sugar 2
Ubonkids City 9
Muang Thong Utd 10
Romklao United 0
Surat Thani City 1
Lamphun Warrior 4
Sukhothai 3
Yala 1
Thonburi Forest 0
Nong Bua Pitchaya 7
Burapha United 0
Port MTI FC 4
Bangkok Utd 7
Samut Sakhon City 0
Kanchanaburi 4
Nara United 0
Chonburi 1
Police Tero 2
Customs Utd 3
Nonthaburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 12
Warin Chamrap 0
See Khwae City 0
Pattani 1
Cha Choeng Sao 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1
Samui United 2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng 0
Nong Khai FC 0
Khonkaen United 5
Bankhai United 5
Nakhon Nayok 0
Kasetsart 1
Nakhon Pathom 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Udon United 0
Roi Et 2018 2
Samut Songkhram City 0
Siwilai 0
Uttaradit FC 2
Pattaya City 1
Chiangmai FC 0
Marines FC 0
Sisaket United 3
Mahasarakham 1
Rayong FC 4
Muangnont 0
Phitsanulok 1
Lopburi City 2
Ratchaburi 3
1/16-finals
Phichit United 2
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 3
Royal Thai Fleet FC 2
Uthai Thani 0
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 10
Ubonkids City 0
Muang Thong Utd 0
Lamphun Warrior 1
Sukhothai 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0
Port MTI FC 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Police Tero 0
Customs Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 5
Pattani 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Samui United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bankhai United 1
Nakhon Pathom 3
Ayutthaya United 6
Roi Et 2018 0
Uttaradit FC 1
Pattaya City 0
Sisaket United 1
Rayong FC 0
Phitsanulok 1
Ratchaburi 2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 2
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Sukhothai 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Buriram United F.C. 4
Pattani 0
Khonkaen United 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Ayutthaya United 3
Uttaradit FC 0
Sisaket United 1
Ratchaburi 3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd 0
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 2
Bangkok Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 6
Khonkaen United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Ratchaburi 0
Semi-finals
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 0
Buriram United F.C. 5
Ayutthaya United 0
Final
Prachuap 0
Buriram United F.C. 1
