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Praia Milfontes vs Viana Alentejo

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Praia Milfontes play Viana Alentejo in the Taça de Portugal 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Praia Milfontes averaged 0.71 goals scored and 3 conceded. Viana Alentejo averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Praia Milfontes won 0, Viana Alentejo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2015 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.02 for Praia Milfontes and 1.84 for Viana Alentejo. This points to a Viana Alentejo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Praia Milfontes
24%
Draws
54%
Viana Alentejo
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Viana Alentejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Praia Milfontes picked up more points recently compared to Viana Alentejo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.02 vs 1.84 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Praia Milfontes Clean Sheet 10%
Viana Alentejo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praia Milfontes Viana Alentejo
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 0.71 1.19
Goals Conceded 3 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.80 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Praia Milfontes vs Viana Alentejo
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praia Milfontes 22 / 100
Viana Alentejo 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praia Milfontes Viana Alentejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viana Alentejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Viana Alentejo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Praia Milfontes attacking → ← attacking Viana Alentejo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Praia Milfontes scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

Viana Alentejo let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Praia Milfontes went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Viana Alentejo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 18
0.40 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63