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Prat vs Balaguer

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Prat and Balaguer finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balaguer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Prat
20%
Draws
0%
Balaguer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Prat come out ahead of Balaguer on wins alone.
  • Prat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Prat Clean Sheet 18%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prat Balaguer
Matches Played 45 31
Wins 13 3
Draws 12 11
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Prat vs Balaguer
0:1
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Prat
0:2
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Prat vs Balaguer
2:1
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Prat
2:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Prat vs Balaguer
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prat 85 / 100
Balaguer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prat Balaguer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Balaguer has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Prat's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Prat VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prat

(Home)
10 May
CE Atletic Lleida
6 : 0
Prat
04 May
Prat
2 : 2
Peralada
27 Apr
Mollerussa
5 : 0
Prat
18 Apr
Prat
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
13 Apr
FC Lescala
0 : 0
Prat
Page 1 of 9

Balaguer

(Away)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)