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Prato vs Empoli Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prato host Empoli in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Prato have averaged 1.44 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Empoli's 1.03 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Prato slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.88) point toward Prato. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Prato
15%
Draws
27%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Model gives Prato a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Empoli
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Prato vs Empoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 85 / 100
Empoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Prato stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Empoli conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Empoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Empoli
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
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Empoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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