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Prato vs Empoli

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prato host Empoli in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Prato have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.13 conceded recently, against Empoli's 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Prato slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.63) point toward Prato. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Prato
20%
Draws
32%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Model gives Prato a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Empoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Prato vs Empoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 49 / 100
Empoli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Empoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Prato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Empoli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Prato
1 : 0
Grosseto
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Empoli

(Away)
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
25 Apr
Venezia
2 : 0
Empoli
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