Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sava S.
14' Event
Pucci L.
70' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Seravezza Pozzi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Prato
30%
Draws
23%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Prato taking it.
  • Prato have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Seravezza Pozzi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
1:0
Dec 7, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:3
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattarulo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sava S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pucci L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 46 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Prato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Prato 3
Siena 1
Tau 0
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Final
Prato 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2