Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sava S.
14' Event
Pucci L.
70' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Seravezza Pozzi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Prato
6%
Draws
4%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Prato taking it.
  • Prato have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Seravezza Pozzi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
1:0
Dec 7, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:3
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattarulo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sava S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pucci L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 95 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Prato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Prato
1 : 0
Grosseto
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Prato3
Siena1
Tau0
Seravezza Pozzi2
Final
Prato1
Seravezza Pozzi2