Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

Prato in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Prato
30%
Draws
23%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than Seravezza Pozzi.
  • Win probability leans Prato's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
1:0
Dec 7, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:3
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Prato
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattarulo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 36 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Seravezza Pozzi conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Prato has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)