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Praviano vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Praviano and Astur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Praviano
15%
Draws
21%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Praviano come out ahead of Astur on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Praviano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Praviano Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praviano Astur
Matches Played 45 33
Wins 23 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Praviano
0:1
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Astur
3:1
Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Astur
2:2
Oct 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Praviano
1:0
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Astur
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praviano 85 / 100
Astur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praviano Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Praviano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Praviano scored in 80% of their last 45 games.

Astur let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Praviano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Praviano VS Astur
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Praviano

(Home)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
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Astur

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
15 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Astur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)