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Praviano vs CD Mosconia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Nuno L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Praviano and CD Mosconia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Praviano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Praviano
15%
Draws
46%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mosconia come out ahead of Praviano on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Praviano taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Praviano Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praviano CD Mosconia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs CD Mosconia
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
1:0
Sep 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs CD Mosconia
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Praviano
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Praviano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuno L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Mosconia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praviano 36 / 100
CD Mosconia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praviano CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Praviano scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Mosconia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Praviano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Praviano VS CD Mosconia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Praviano

(Home)
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
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CD Mosconia

(Away)
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)