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Preilu BJSS vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2017 game between Preilu BJSS and Valmiera finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Preilu BJSS
15%
Draws
85%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valmiera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valmiera have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Preilu BJSS Clean Sheet 14%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preilu BJSS Valmiera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 22
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2.81
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2018 Latvian Cup
Preilu BJSS vs Valmiera
0:3
Sep 16, 2017 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs Valmiera
2:5
May 28, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Preilu BJSS
4:1
Oct 8, 2016 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Preilu BJSS
8:0
Jun 5, 2016 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs Valmiera
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preilu BJSS 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preilu BJSS Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Valmiera let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Preilu BJSS found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Valmiera has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Preilu BJSS

(Home)
03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1
Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Preilu BJSS
07 Oct
Preilu BJSS
1 : 2
Grobina
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2
Preilu BJSS
22 Sept
Preilu BJSS
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)