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Prelegentai Vilnius vs FC Stumbras

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prelegentai Vilnius play FC Stumbras in the Lithuanian Cup 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Prelegentai Vilnius averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. FC Stumbras averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Prelegentai Vilnius won 0, FC Stumbras won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2017 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Prelegentai Vilnius and 0.93 for FC Stumbras. This points to a Prelegentai Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Prelegentai Vilnius
15%
Draws
31%
FC Stumbras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prelegentai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Prelegentai Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to FC Stumbras.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Prelegentai Vilnius Clean Sheet 24%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prelegentai Vilnius FC Stumbras
Matches Played 24 33
Wins 14 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2017 Lithuanian Cup
Prelegentai Vilnius vs FC Stumbras
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prelegentai Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Stumbras Compare

Top Goalscorer Konikas D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Artimavicius L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prelegentai Vilnius 53 / 100
FC Stumbras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prelegentai Vilnius FC Stumbras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prelegentai Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Prelegentai Vilnius & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prelegentai Vilnius attacking → ← attacking FC Stumbras

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prelegentai Vilnius scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

FC Stumbras let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Prelegentai Vilnius went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Stumbras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63