Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prelegentai Vilnius vs FK Sveikata Kybartai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prelegentai Vilnius play FK Sveikata Kybartai in the Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016. Prelegentai Vilnius are favorites here. Recently, Prelegentai Vilnius averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. FK Sveikata Kybartai averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Prelegentai Vilnius won 1, FK Sveikata Kybartai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 25, 2015 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Prelegentai Vilnius and 2.58 for FK Sveikata Kybartai. This points to a Prelegentai Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Prelegentai Vilnius
15%
Draws
18%
FK Sveikata Kybartai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prelegentai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Prelegentai Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to FK Sveikata Kybartai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 2.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Prelegentai Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
FK Sveikata Kybartai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prelegentai Vilnius FK Sveikata Kybartai
Matches Played 24 15
Wins 14 3
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.67 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2015 Lithuanian Cup
Prelegentai Vilnius vs FK Sveikata Kybartai
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prelegentai Vilnius 62 / 100
FK Sveikata Kybartai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prelegentai Vilnius FK Sveikata Kybartai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prelegentai Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Prelegentai Vilnius & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prelegentai Vilnius attacking → ← attacking FK Sveikata Kybartai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prelegentai Vilnius scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

FK Sveikata Kybartai let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Prelegentai Vilnius went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Sveikata Kybartai lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 10
2.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75