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Prespa vs Bregalnica Stip

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prespa play Bregalnica Stip in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Bregalnica Stip are favorites here. Recently, Prespa averaged 1 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Bregalnica Stip averaged 2.79 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, Prespa won 0, Bregalnica Stip won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.38 for Prespa and 2.63 for Bregalnica Stip. This points to a Bregalnica Stip double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Prespa
15%
Draws
74%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Prespa picked up more points recently compared to Bregalnica Stip.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.38 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 24%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 24
Draws 0 5
Losses 25 4
Goals Scored 1 2.79
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Bregalnica Stip
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Prespa
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 12 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 71 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Bregalnica Stip

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bregalnica Stip Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bregalnica Stip & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prespa attacking → ← attacking Bregalnica Stip

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Bregalnica Stip let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Prespa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bregalnica Stip lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 77
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107