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Prespa vs Golemo Konjari

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prespa play Golemo Konjari in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Prespa are favorites here. Recently, Prespa averaged 1 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Golemo Konjari averaged 0.55 goals scored and 3.65 conceded. In past meetings, Prespa won 2, Golemo Konjari won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Prespa and 1.63 for Golemo Konjari. This points to a Prespa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Prespa
15%
Draws
28%
Golemo Konjari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prespa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Prespa picked up more points recently compared to Golemo Konjari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Prespa Clean Sheet 14%
Golemo Konjari Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Golemo Konjari
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 25 28
Goals Scored 1 0.55
Goals Conceded 2.53 3.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 2. MFL
Golemo Konjari vs Prespa
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Golemo Konjari
4:2
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Golemo Konjari vs Prespa
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 54 / 100
Golemo Konjari 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Golemo Konjari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prespa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Prespa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prespa attacking → ← attacking Golemo Konjari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Golemo Konjari let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Prespa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Golemo Konjari lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 7
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107