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Stadium Background

Prespa vs Sloga Vinica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Prespa and Sloga Vinica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Vinica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Prespa
30%
Draws
34%
Sloga Vinica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prespa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sloga Vinica's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Prespa have produced (0.38).
  • Model gives Prespa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%
Sloga Vinica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Sloga Vinica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 0 3
Losses 25 22
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Prespa
3:2
Nov 25, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Sloga Vinica
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 34 / 100
Sloga Vinica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Sloga Vinica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sloga Vinica conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sloga Vinica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Prespa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Prespa VS Sloga Vinica
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107