Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Genis Steel Stadium
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Preston Lions host Bentleigh Greens in the NPL Victoria. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Preston Lions have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Bentleigh Greens's 0.63 scored and 2.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Preston Lions have won 2 to Bentleigh Greens's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.63, favoring Preston Lions. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Preston Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Bentleigh Greens
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Preston Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Preston Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Preston Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Preston Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Lions Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions
1:1
Jun 21, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Mar 15, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions
3:2
Jul 10, 2005 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
5:2
Apr 3, 2005 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston Lions 85 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Lions Bentleigh Greens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Preston Lions has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Bentleigh Greens registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Preston Lions's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Preston Lions VS Bentleigh Greens
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210