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Preston Lions vs Green Gully

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Genis Steel Stadium, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cianci Z.
8' Event
Habib B.
12' Event
Kifle E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Preston Lions
35%
Draws
32%
Green Gully
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Preston Lions lately — more wins on the board than Green Gully.
  • Model gives Preston Lions a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Preston Lions Clean Sheet 18%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Lions Green Gully
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.66 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Green Gully
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
0:4
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
0:1
May 2, 2025 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Green Gully
3:2
Jun 20, 2009 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Preston Lions
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Preston Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Cianci Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Green Gully Compare

Top Goalscorer Habib B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kifle E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston Lions 67 / 100
Green Gully 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Lions Green Gully

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Preston Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Gully has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Preston Lions's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Preston Lions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Preston Lions VS Green Gully
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston Lions

(Home)
05 Sept
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Preston Lions
29 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 1
Altona Magic
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
22 Aug
Dandenong City SC
0 : 0
Preston Lions
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
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Green Gully

(Away)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2
Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)