Sport Picks
Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets
Australia
Australia Cup Genis Steel Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
16'
16'
Dobson W.
23'
23'
Vergos N.
Assist: Bertoncello X.
46'
46'
Sub
Bertoncello X. In: Cockle O.
Out: Bertoncello X.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Preston Lions advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Preston Lions haven't matched Newcastle Jets's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Newcastle Jets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Preston Lions, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Preston Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Preston Lions | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Australia Cup
Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Preston Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonada N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lazarevski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Newcastle Jets Compare
Top Goalscorer Dobson W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vergos N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Preston Lions 31 / 100
Newcastle Jets 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Preston Lions Newcastle Jets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Jets has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Preston Lions went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Preston Lions scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Preston Lions VS Newcastle Jets
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Preston Lions
(Home) 18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0 Preston Lions
10 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 1 Hume City
04 Jul
Avondale FC
2 : 3 Preston Lions
27 Jun
George Cross
0 : 2 Preston Lions
20 Jun
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 1 Preston Lions
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 1 Hume City
24 May
Preston Lions
0 : 1 Oakleigh Cannons
08 May
Preston Lions
1 : 0 Dandenong City SC
11 Apr
Preston Lions
0 : 3 South Melbourne
20 Mar
Preston Lions
2 : 1 Avondale FC
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Jets
(Away) 16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2 Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets
11 Apr
Newcastle Jets
1 : 1 Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
22 Mar
Sydney FC
1 : 2 Newcastle Jets
28 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 0 Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Tigers FC-
Western Sydney Wanderers-
Kingborough Lions-
Melbourne Victory-
Azzurri United-
Macarthur FC-
APIA Leichhardt2
Peninsula1
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus4
Rochedale1
SD Raiders2
Weston Workers Bears-
Melbourne City-
Bayswater1
Sydney FC5
Maitland-
Fremantle City-
Queensland Lions2
Perth Glory1
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg Utd3
Sydney Utd-
Central Coast-
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-