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Preston Lions W vs Essendon Royals W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Essendon Royals W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Preston Lions W
15%
Draws
40%
Essendon Royals W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Preston Lions W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Essendon Royals W lately — more wins on the board than Preston Lions W.
  • Essendon Royals W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Preston Lions W Clean Sheet 10%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Lions W Essendon Royals W
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.19 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Preston Lions W vs Essendon Royals W
1:5
May 2, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Preston Lions W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston Lions W 10 / 100
Essendon Royals W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Lions W Essendon Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essendon Royals W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Preston Lions W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Essendon Royals W let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Preston Lions W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Preston Lions W VS Essendon Royals W
1 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston Lions W

(Home)
30 Aug
Preston Lions W
2 : 1
Melbourne Victory U20 W
21 Aug
Bentleigh Greens W
0 : 0
Preston Lions W
14 Aug
Preston Lions W
1 : 5
Essendon Royals W
07 Aug
Preston Lions W
2 : 0
Melbourne City U20 W
24 Jul
Preston Lions W
1 : 0
Keilor Park W
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Essendon Royals W

(Away)
12 Sept
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Avondale FC W
30 Aug
South Melbourne W
3 : 1
Essendon Royals W
22 Aug
Essendon Royals W
3 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
14 Aug
Preston Lions W
1 : 5
Essendon Royals W
08 Aug
Essendon Royals W
5 : 2
Bentleigh Greens W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Box Hill W 26 19 3 4 67:27 60
2 Essendon Royals W 26 18 2 6 77:31 56
3 Avondale FC W 26 16 4 6 65:27 52
4 Bulleen Lions W 26 16 4 6 59:28 52
5 South Melbourne W 26 13 6 7 49:25 45
6 Boroondara Eagles W 26 14 3 9 53:40 45
7 Alamein FC W 26 13 3 10 34:27 42
8 Melbourne Victory U20 W 26 11 2 13 48:54 35
9 Heidelberg Utd W 26 9 5 12 38:48 32
10 Preston Lions W 26 8 6 12 31:47 30
11 Keilor Park W 26 7 6 13 25:45 27
12 Spring Hills W 26 8 2 16 30:46 26
13 Bentleigh Greens W 26 3 3 20 22:81 12
14 Melbourne City U20 W 26 2 1 23 22:94 7
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)