Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primavera AC vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Primavera AC Logo

Primavera AC

2 - 2
FT
Caceres Logo

Caceres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Primavera AC
30%
Draws
29%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Primavera AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Caceres's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Primavera AC have produced (1.06).
  • Primavera AC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 16%
Caceres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera AC Caceres
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.06 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Primavera AC vs Caceres
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera AC 39 / 100
Caceres 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera AC Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Primavera AC scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Caceres has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Primavera AC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primavera AC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera AC

(Home)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 7

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)