Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primavera AC vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Estádio Municipal Antônio Santo Renosto, Primavera do Leste
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Eliel
68' Event
de Oliveira L. F.

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Primavera AC and Cuiaba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Primavera AC
20%
Draws
47%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cuiaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 14%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera AC Cuiaba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Cuiaba
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Primavera AC
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Cuiaba
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Cuiaba
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Primavera AC vs Cuiaba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera AC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Oliveira L. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera AC 31 / 100
Cuiaba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera AC Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primavera AC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cuiaba has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Primavera AC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Primavera AC VS Cuiaba
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera AC

(Home)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
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Cuiaba

(Away)
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Operario-PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)