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Primavera AC vs Vila Nova FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Municipal Antônio Santo Renosto, Primavera do Leste
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Match Events

15' Event
Enzo Bizzotto
16' Event
Silva de Sousa Y.
27' Event
Ruan Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Primavera AC
20%
Draws
47%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Nova FC lately — more wins on the board than Primavera AC.
  • Model gives Vila Nova FC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Vila Nova FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 21%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera AC Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 13 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Primavera AC vs Vila Nova FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva de Sousa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Bizzotto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera AC 29 / 100
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera AC Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Primavera AC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vila Nova FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Primavera AC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Nova FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera AC

(Home)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
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Vila Nova FC

(Away)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)