Sport Picks
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
Brazil
Paulista Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi, Indaiatuba 
Match Events
8'
8'
Pedro Felipe
Assist: Mathias de Almeida D. M.
33'
33'
Richard Almeyda
45'
45'
Ligger
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Primavera EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Primavera EC have won more games recently than Noroeste.
- Win probability leans Primavera EC's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Paulista form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Primavera EC | Noroeste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Paulista
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
3:3
Feb 3, 2024 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Primavera EC
3:0
Apr 30, 2021 Paulista A3
Noroeste vs Primavera EC
0:1
Oct 3, 2020 Paulista A3
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Primavera EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ligger
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Poveda
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Noroeste Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Felipe
1 Goals Assists Leader Mathias de Almeida D. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Primavera EC 68 / 100
Noroeste 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Primavera EC Noroeste
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Primavera EC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Noroeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Primavera EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Primavera EC VS Noroeste
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Primavera EC
(Home) 08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Juventus-SP
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1 Primavera EC
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0 Osasco Sporting
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Primavera EC
26 Feb
Ceara
2 : 1 Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Juventus-SP
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0 Osasco Sporting
15 Feb
Primavera EC
3 : 3 Noroeste
31 Jan
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Portuguesa
17 Jan
Primavera EC
3 : 4 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 3
Noroeste
(Away) 09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
21 Jun
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 1 Noroeste
30 May
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
23 May
Nova Iguacu
1 : 0 Noroeste
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Capivariano | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Santos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Guarani | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Primavera EC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:13 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)
