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Primavera EC vs Noroeste Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi, Indaiatuba
Primavera EC Logo

Primavera EC

2 - 2
FT
Noroeste Logo

Noroeste

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lucas Douglas
29' Event
Elicley
35'
Sub
Wellington Oliveira In: Alisson Farias
Out: Wellington Oliveira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Primavera EC
30%
Draws
37%
Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Primavera EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Primavera EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Primavera EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Noroeste, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera EC Noroeste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Primavera EC
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Paulista
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
3:3
Feb 3, 2024 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Noroeste
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Primavera EC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Cunha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Douglas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elicley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera EC 95 / 100
Noroeste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera EC Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noroeste has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Primavera EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Primavera EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Primavera EC VS Noroeste
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera EC

(Home)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
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Noroeste

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Quarter-finals
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Semi-finals
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -